Numerical Model Forecasts

Note: for swell/wave forecasts, see the Marine page.

Short/Medium Range Forecasts

Via MetService

NZ 3-day rain+wind forecast - one of MetService's hi-res mesoscale models with 3 hourly maps
NZ/Tas 5-day pressure+rain forecast - based on UKMO global model data, 6 hourly to H+72 then 12 hourly to H+120
Marine forecast maps - 6 hourly maps of wave height and period, also SST, supplied by MetOcean Solutions Ltd.


NCEP GFS

GFS data here at Weather Geek:

New Zealand Model Data

with current & previous 3 runs

NZ GFS NWP Tiles

next 8 days on a single page

NZ/Global Model Data

several fields on a Google map

GFS data elsewhere:

MetVUW - GFS charts for NZ and larger areas out to 10 days
» or straight to NZ 7-day thumbnails of MSLP+wind+rain
WeatherMap - spot forecasts and maps including marine info from MetOcean Solutions Ltd.
Weatherzone - AUS/NZ 8-Day GFS maps
Snow-Forecast.com - animated maps of rain, freezing level and snow, also with static maps, out to 6 days

BSCH "Raincast" - NZ GFS rainfall accumulation maps (via Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage) - interactive, select time range on left
BSCH "Stormcast" - NZ GFS soundings (via Brisbane Storm Chasers Homepage) - select the time on the left, then click the map

DrJack RASP BLIPMAPs - 3.3km GFSA-initiated WRF-ARW model (4 projections covering NZ)
» Regional Atmospheric Soaring Prediction Boundary Layer Information Prediction maps

NCEP Model Analyses and Guidance - GFS charts for the South Pacific (various parameters)
Metcheck.com - Oceana charts covering Aus/NZ at 6hr interval to H+240
StormSurf - South Pacific surface pressure and wind
WunderMap - Global data on a Google map via wunderground.com
FNMOC WXMAP - Global NWP maps (GFS via "GFS" links!)
» or straight to the Australia/NZ area
COLA - NCEP GFS Medium Range Forecasts
» or straight to the Aus/NZ products with SLP+1000-500thk (all times)
IPS MeteoStar - AUS/NZ products - select a product from here to open the viewer with animation controls
Alicia Bentley's real-time GFS maps - incl various Aus/NZ charts, eg; MSLP/rain, CAPE, Jets
Meteocentre.com - Southern Hemisphere maps
ARL (NOAA) Forecast Model Graphics - put "NZWN" for ICAO to start... (GFS model)
» including interactive maps, meteograms and soundings
Uni of Wyoming- GFS maps for several areas incl "South Pacific" to H+180
NWS EMC (NOAA) - Southern Hemisphere, H500/vort and H850/T charts out to 7 days

Earth Wind Map - global visualisation of GFS forecast winds
Windyty - global GFS wind maps (similar to above)


NIWA

NIWA's 2-day rainfall maps


ECMWF

EC data here at Weather Geek:

MSLP chart covering NZ/Aus at 24hr interval to H+240 - via image player or static all-in-one page

EC data elsewhere:

ECMWF - MRF Deterministic Forecasts of mslp+wind850 and H500/T850 for H+0 to H+240
Metcheck.com - Oceana charts covering Aus/NZ at 24hr interval to H+240
WunderMap - Global data on a Google map via wunderground.com
Meteocentre.com - Southern Hemisphere maps


BoM ACCESS

BoM Interactive viewer for Weather and Wave products - ACCESS-G/R and AUSWAVE-G products (see: about maps for model info)
» see also: BoM NWP Products page for a smaller subset of static images
Weatherzone - AUS/NZ 10-Day ACCESS-G maps


NAVGEM - US Navy Global Environmental Model

FNMOC WXMAP - Global NWP maps (NAVGEM via "NVG" links)
» or straight to the Australia/NZ area


UKMET

Uni of Wyoming - UKMET maps for several areas incl "New Zealand" to H+72
Meteocentre.com - Southern Hemisphere maps


Multi-model

WeatherOnline Expert Charts for NZ - links to GFS data, other models available
Tropical Tidbits - incl GFS, CMC, NAVGEM, HWRF...
Meteocentre.com - Southern Hemisphere four panel comparison for CMC-GDPS, NCEP-GFS, ECMWF, UKMET

Forecast.io - maps and spot forecasts based on statistical aggregate of several data sources


Antarctica Specific

UCAR Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System - AMPS WRF
University of Wisconsin-Madison's Antarctic Meteorological Research Center - data and imagery - links to GFS/ECMWF products
Ohio State University Polar Meteorology Group - Polar WRF model data

 

Ensemble Forecasts

NCEP - Ensemble forecasts from ESRL PSD (go for "Southern Hemisphere Plots")
» straight to the Ensemble means for MSLP/THK + H500
NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) Homepage, with experimental data (old NCEP ensemble products page)
» straight to the Global Prob of Precip maps (PQPF)

FNMOC WXMAP - head for the "Ensemble Models" tab for several domains incl. South Pacific area
» or straight to: NOGAPS or NCEP_GFS or CMC or Multi-Model (NGP+GFS+CMC) - many products incl. MSLP, precip, winds, temps, GH...

ECMWF - Seasonal Forecast Charts

 

Archived Model Data

NOAA (ARL) Archived Model Graphics - put "NZWN" for ICAO to start...
» including interactive maps, meteograms and soundings (FNL model)
NOAA NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project - try "6-hourly and daily data", then surface...

 

Verifications

WMO Lead Centre for Deterministic Forecast Verification - ECMWF
Lead Centre on Verification of Ensemble Prediction System - JMA
GFS/EC/UK/FNMOC/CMC Analysis Verifications - NOAA/NCEP - incl. combined plots of H500 verifying at 00Z
» for days 0 to -6, with anomaly correlations, or direct to larger plots for GFS vs. UK and GFS vs. EC